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September 25, 2026 · 6 min read

Remco Evenepoel Will Climb the Same Hill Twelve Times Sunday. Tigst Assefa Is Trying Never to Surge at All.

Same Sunday, two elite efforts with nothing physiologically in common. A punishing circuit race and a marathon world-record bid, and what each trains.

Opinion & personal experience, one athlete's take, not medical advice or individualized coaching. Sources are linked where claims need them; talk to a professional before big decisions.

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Sunday is a strange day to try to understand endurance sport, because two races happening at almost the same hour are going to ask completely different things of the human body, and most of the commentary around both will use the same word for it: hard.

In Montreal, the elite men's road race at the UCI Road World Championships covers 273.7 kilometers and 3,803 meters of climbing, twelve laps of a 13.4-kilometer circuit built around Mount Royal, including the 2.3-kilometer Camillien-Houde climb taken twelve separate times on legs that get less willing with every repeat (Rouleur). Remco Evenepoel arrives having just won his fourth consecutive world time trial title, and a win Sunday would make him the first man to complete the time trial and road race double at a single Worlds. Mathieu van der Poel, Wout van Aert, Isaac del Toro, and a dozen others start with a real shot, in a race that's wide open with Tadej Pogačar absent after the crash that ended his season (Olympics.com). Nobody wins this race by holding one number steady. They win it by surviving, and then winning, a race built entirely out of repeated hard efforts on top of other hard efforts.

At almost the same hour, in Berlin, Tigst Assefa lines up for a marathon where the entire point is the opposite skill. She's chasing Ruth Chepngetich's 2:09:56 world record, which would mean taking nearly two minutes off her own personal best of 2:11:53, set on this same course in 2023 (Marathon Handbook). Rosemary Wanjiru, last year's winner, and a strong Ethiopian contingent led by Bedatu Hirpa will be racing her too, but the number everyone will actually be watching is the pace clock. A marathon world record isn't won by surging past anyone at the right moment. It's won by finding a pace just inside what's sustainable for 26.2 miles and then refusing, for over two hours, to deviate from it by more than a few seconds a kilometer in either direction.

Same day, same sport in the loosest sense, same word "endurance" covering both. Completely different engines.

Two Ways to Spend Two Hours

Here's the useful way to think about what separates them, and it's not fitness level, it's shape. A marathon world-record attempt is, physiologically, close to the longest sustained threshold effort a human being can produce: an output held just below the point where fatigue compounds on itself, for as long as possible, with the pacers whose entire job is to protect that evenness. The output that matters is the steady one. Surge early and you've spent something you can't get back at mile 23. Fade even slightly and the record is gone. The winning strategy is to make the effort as boring and as flat as it's possible to make two hours of world-class running.

A twelve-lap circuit race is the other model entirely. Camillien-Houde isn't one hard climb, it's the same hard climb arriving every twenty-some minutes for six-plus hours, each time on top of whatever the previous eleven climbs and the racing in between took out of the legs. The winning move isn't holding a number. It's being the rider who can still produce a hard, above-threshold effort on the twelfth ascent when most of the field can only produce a merely uncomfortable one. Sports scientists studying this kind of repeated-effort demand talk about it in terms of critical power and a separate, finite reserve above it, often written as W′, a battery of hard, unsustainable work that drains every time you go above your threshold and only refills when you drop back below it (Jones et al., Sports Medicine, narrative review). Evenepoel's race isn't about his threshold power at all, not primarily. It's about how many times he can spend that battery and still have enough left for the one climb that decides the race.

These are not the same training problem, and treating them as though they are is where a lot of well-intentioned training plans quietly go wrong, at any level.

Why "It Was a Hard Ride" Doesn't Tell You Which Kind

This is the part that actually matters if you're not racing for a rainbow jersey. A three-hour steady group ride at moderate effort and a three-hour ride with fifteen hard hills thrown in can log a very similar total training stress, and it's tempting to read that as roughly equivalent training. It isn't. One of them rehearses the marathon problem: producing a controlled, sustainable output and not letting it drift. The other rehearses the circuit-race problem: recovering fast enough between hard efforts to produce the next one, and the one after that, without the well running dry.

This is exactly what a ride's variability index is for, and it's worth actually looking at rather than skimming past. Alongside normalized power on any ride with a real measured value, the app shows how surgy versus how steady an effort actually was, which is a genuinely different read than duration or average power alone gives you. Two rides that look identical on a summary screen, same time, same rough intensity, can be telling you two completely different training stories once you look at how spiky the power actually was. And because the app's effort score names which input actually produced it (device TSS, power, heart rate, or duration) rather than handing you one number and hoping you trust it, you can start asking a more useful question than "was that a hard ride": was it hard in the way I actually need to be training for right now.

If your goal event is a century ride or a flat time trial or a marathon of your own, mile-repeat sessions that build your ability to hold a hard, even number matter more than the training that just teaches you to survive spikes. If it's a hilly gran fondo, a crit, or the Saturday ride that turns into an unofficial race on every climb, the opposite is closer to true: what you actually need is repeatability, the ability to go hard, recover just enough, and go hard again, which flat threshold intervals don't rehearse nearly as well as short, repeated efforts with real recovery between them do. Neither kind of session is wrong. They're answers to different questions, and a plan that only ever asks one of them is training you for a race you might not be doing.

Where This Gets Genuinely Complicated

It would be tidy to say marathoners should only do steady work and circuit racers should only do intervals, and that's not actually true, which is worth saying plainly rather than glossing over. Assefa still needs a deep aerobic base and almost certainly some faster work to get her legs ready to hold marathon pace comfortably; nobody runs a world record off pure steady mileage with no speed at all. And Evenepoel still needs a genuinely high threshold, because a repeatable engine with a low ceiling loses to a bigger, less repeatable one soon enough. The honest version of this isn't "pick one," it's that the proportion and the specific demand of your training should look like the demand of what you're actually training for, and most of us default to whichever kind of session we personally enjoy more rather than the one our goal event actually needs.

It's also worth being honest about how much of this weekend's outcome won't be explained by training shape at all. Weather, tactics, a mechanical, a fall, a pacer who goes out too hot, all of these can undo months of correctly targeted preparation in a single afternoon, for Assefa and for Evenepoel both. Nobody outside either training group knows the session-by-session detail of how they actually got ready for Sunday, and this isn't a claim to. What's genuinely useful here isn't a prediction about who wins. It's the reminder that "hard" isn't one thing, your training stress number doesn't automatically tell you which kind of hard you just did, and the gap between a steady effort and a surging one is a real, physiologically distinct gap worth training on purpose rather than by accident.

Watch either race Sunday with that in mind and they stop looking like the same sport wearing different outfits. They're two different questions the body can be asked, and by the time either finish line arrives, only one athlete in each race will have spent Sunday morning asking the right one for their own event, not just the harder one.

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